While discussing medical statistics, I remind myself about what Nassim Taleb has said: 'Probability is not a mere computation of odds on the dice (or more complicated variants), it is the acceptance of the lack of certainty in our knowledge...'.
This makes me think how we - as human beings, can simplify (and perhaps over pathologise) by 'categorising' to make the uncertain feel more certain. While these principles might be more relevant to quantitative methodology,…
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